Entertainment: Gavin Newsom projected to win California recall race

Gavin Newsom on Shaky Ground Six Weeks Out From California Recall Election

  Gavin Newsom on Shaky Ground Six Weeks Out From California Recall Election California voters will decide the Democratic governor's fate during the statewide recall election on September 14.If Newsom defeats the recall effort, he will remain in office and get the opportunity to run for a second term in the 2022 midterm election. But if more than 50 percent of California voters cast their ballots in favor of removing the Democrat from office, the recall candidate who receives the greatest number of votes will replace him and run the state until the midterms.

Larry Elder, Gavin Newsom standing next to a man in a suit and tie: MailOnline logo © Provided by Daily Mail MailOnline logo

CNN, ABC and NBC projected that Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom would win Tuesday's recall race in California.

Newsom held an early and substantial lead in results from California's Tuesday recall election shortly after polls closed at 8 p.m. local time.

With 61 per cent of the vote in, 67.5 per cent voted 'no' - meaning Newsom would not be recalled - while 32.5 per cent said yes, which would remove him. Los Angeles county's mail-in ballots were tallied early, giving Newsom a big boost. Newsom held a lead of more than 2.7 million votes in the country's most populous state.

Will California Gov Gavin Newsom be kicked out in recall vote?

  Will California Gov Gavin Newsom be kicked out in recall vote? Polls show Newsom will likely stay in office, but the recall has emboldened Republicans.California Governor Gavin Newsom faces a high-stakes election on September 14 that threatens to replace him with one of the dozens of candidates, including a popular conservative radio host who is against abortion and has praised former Republican President Donald Trump.

Fifty per cent of Californians would have to vote 'yes' for Newsom to be fired.

As polls closed in Tuesday's recall election, exit polls spelled trouble for Republican gubernatorial hopeful Larry Elder - the candidate who would replace Newsom, results showed.

Among the 46 candidates to replace Newsom, about 40 per cent selected Elder as the choice.

Forty-nine per cent of voters held an unfavorable view of the conservative radio show host and 60 per cent perceiving the GOP negatively.

At Elder's campaign headquarters at a Hilton in Costa Mesa - located in Republican-friendly Orange County - reporters outnumbered supporters with less than an hour to go before polls closed. A band was warming up on a side stage. Large screens were flipping between Fox News, Elder's campaign logo and the California flag.

California Governor Gavin Newsom survives attempted ousting

  California Governor Gavin Newsom survives attempted ousting Californian Governor Gavin Newsom is projected to retain his position after voters took to the ballot boxes for a recall election. The Democrat is the second governor to survive a recall attempt in American history .Senior Fellow at the United States Studies Centre in Sydney, Bruce Wolpe, said the "recall movement got smashed" with overwhelming proportions of Californians voting early or by mail to affirm support for Mr Newsom.READ MORE: US airlines' bid to lure Australian pilots adds to aviation worries © AP Governor Gavin Newsom has survived an attempt by critics to remove him from power.

Several hundred people eventually filed in, with very few choosing to wear masks.

While the networks were calling the race for Newsom, the Elder party continued uninterrupted, as Fox - which was playing - had yet to make a determination.

California Recall Election

Polls open: 7 am Pacific time/10 a.m. Eastern time

Four takeaways after California governor handily defeats recall

  Four takeaways after California governor handily defeats recall Newsom wins on strength of response to COVID-19 as voters reject Republican claims in heavily Democratic state.The California recall election was the first significant US political contest of Joe Biden’s presidency and served as a stress test for both parties before next year’s midterms that will determine whether Biden’s Democratic Party can retain control of Congress.

Polls close: 8 p.m. Pacific time/11 p.m. Eastern time

Drop-off deadline: Voters dropping off ballots must do so by 8 p.m. Pacific time/11 p.m. Eastern time

Mail-in ballots: All active registered voters were sent a ballot by mail last month and it must be post-marked by Tuesday, September 14

Two questions on the ballot: Should Mr. Newsom be recalled? And if that happens, who should replace him?

Vying to replace Newsom:  46 candidates, about half of them Republicans

What's next: Winner will serve out remainder of Newsom term; there will be another gubernatorial election in 2022 regardless of Tuesday's victor

Exit polling showed that Democratic voters outnumbered Republicans by 17 percentage points - 43 per cent to 26 per cent - according to ABC News.

Earlier Tuesday, Elder appeared ready for defeat and was prepping for the next step - fighting the results with a website the declares Newsom already has been 'reinstated.'

Elder's campaign launched a 'Stop California Fraud' website that asks his supporters to report incidents of voter fraud and sign a petition to investigate the election results.

The California Recall Could Be a Road Map for Democrats

  The California Recall Could Be a Road Map for Democrats Gavin Newsom’s strategy has momentum, and it provides a crucial template for his fellow Dems in 2022.One key reason the president’s party historically fares so poorly in midterm elections is that its supporters turn out at lower rates than voters of the party not in the White House. Polling earlier this summer showed that Newsom faced an especially acute version of that challenge; California Democrats displayed far less interest in, or even awareness of, the recall than did Republicans.

His move comes before a single ballot is reported and is seen as laying the groundwork to argue that Democrats stole the election, a line used by Donald Trump in the wake of Joe Biden's victory in 2020.

FiveThirtyEight.com's compilation of polls showed on Monday that 57.5 per cent of California voters wanted Newsom to stay in office, while 40.8 per cent planned to vote for his removal.

A Los Angeles Times poll shows 60.1% of likely voters surveyed oppose recalling Newsom compared with 38.5% in favor of ousting the governor.

A month ago, polls were essentially tied among Californians who planned to vote 'no' on the recall, which would allow the Democrat to remain, and those who planned to vote 'yes,' to oust him.

There are two questions on the ballot: Whether to keep Newsom as governor and, if not, to choose a Newsom replacement, which is where Elder leads among 46 candidates. That includes Caitlyn Jenner, who is polling in single digits but not ruling out another run for public office.

The language on the voter fraud website assumes the Democratic governor triumphed in the recall election and is staying in office. Elder's campaign is paying for the website.

'We implore you…our fellow citizens…to join us in this fight as you are able, primarily by signing our petition demanding a special session of the California legislature to investigate and ameliorate the twisted results of this 2021 Recall Election of Governor Gavin Newsom,' the site reads.

California Recall Election Could Be a Win for Vaccine Mandates

  California Recall Election Could Be a Win for Vaccine Mandates All healthcare workers in the state are required to be vaccinated against COVID-19 by the end of September.A victory for Newsom in the September 14 election may also be seen as a win for the governor's efforts to mandate vaccination against COVID-19 in the state, which will now require vaccines for healthcare workers.

Elder's actions mirror those of Trump, who touts the 'big lie' - his false claim he won the 2020 presidential election instead of Joe Biden - and the conservative talk radio host has touted his ties to the former president as he worked the campaign trail.

The website also claims - without proof - voter fraud has been detected in the California contest: 'Statistical analyses used to detect fraud in elections held in 3rd-world nations (such as Russia, Venezuela, and Iran) have detected fraud in California resulting in Governor Gavin Newsom being reinstated as governor.'

And it reminds voters they have the 'ammo box' as an option.

'They say that in America, there are four boxes of liberty. The soapbox, the ballot box, the jury box, and the ammo box,' the website reads. 'Will we now have to fight the California jury box, in the hope that the final box — the one most akin to Pandora's — remains closed?'

graphical user interface, website: Elder's campaign set up a website to cast doubt on Tuesday's election results and to lay the groundwork to argue that Democrats stole the election © Provided by Daily Mail Elder's campaign set up a website to cast doubt on Tuesday's election results and to lay the groundwork to argue that Democrats stole the election

There was no evidence of massive voter fraud in the 2020 election and multiple recounts confirmed Biden's victory. There also has not been any evidence of massive voter fraud in California's election.

With Democrats more prone to use mail-in ballots and Republicans likely to vote on election day, initial results - which will come in shortly after polls close at 8 p.m. PDT - could show a wide margin of support for Newsom.


Video: Voters decide California gubernatorial recall election (NBC News)

Fate of California governor in balance in recall vote

  Fate of California governor in balance in recall vote California voters went to the polls Tuesday to decide whether to oust the Democratic governor of the most populous US state or have him serve out the remaining 16 months of his term. Gavin Newsom, who was elected in a landslide in November 2018, is widely expected to survive the quirky recall election, fending off a field of 46 challengers, mostly Republicans. Polls are due to close at 8:00 pm (0300 GMT Wednesday) in the Golden State, which boasts the world's fifth biggest economy, and where many Californians have already voted by mail.

The margin could then narrow as in-person votes are counted - opposite of the dynamic that played out in the presidential race, which saw Trump's leads in swing states evaporate once mail-in ballots were counted.

In California, counties were allowed to start processing mail-in ballots one week ago.

Some political analysts worry casting seeds of doubt about election results could become the new normal for losing candidates.

'This is really becoming the standard GOP playbook,' Lee Drutman, a senior fellow at the New America think tank who studies democracy, told NBC News. 'This is democracy 101. If you don't have elections that are accepted and decisive, then you don't really have a democracy, because the alternative is violence or authoritarianism.'

Elder told reporters in the state on Monday that 'there might very well be shenanigans' in the election.

He said his campaign is ready to file lawsuits.

a woman sitting in front of a mirror posing for the camera: GOP hopeful Caitlyn Jenner is polling in single digits but not ruling out another run for public office. She voted in Beverly Hills Tuesday © Provided by Daily Mail GOP hopeful Caitlyn Jenner is polling in single digits but not ruling out another run for public office. She voted in Beverly Hills Tuesday

'What I believe is that no matter what they do - and I believe that there might very well be shenanigans, as it were in the 2020 election - no matter what they do, so many Californians are angry about what's going on,' he said.

Trump is also already questioning the recall results, pointing to California's use of mail-in ballots.

'Does anybody really believe the California Recall Election isn't rigged? Millions and millions of Mail-In Ballots will make this just another giant Election Scam, no different, but less blatant, than the 2020 Presidential Election Scam!' Trump wrote in a statement Monday.

More than 6 million ballots have been cast as of Wednesday in the California recall election with 53% of those coming from Democratic households.

Larry Elder's Chances of Replacing Gavin Newsom in California Recall Election

  Larry Elder's Chances of Replacing Gavin Newsom in California Recall Election The Republican candidate is facing an uphill battle as Newsom seems likely to beat the effort to remove him.Elder, who is running as a Republican, looks like he'll miss out on the state's top job, however. Bookmakers Betfair, which operates the world's largest online betting exchange, told Newsweek that Elder's odds of replacing Newsom stand at 8/1.

'We should all be concerned about election integrity and we all want every proper vote to be counted. We've provided a link to an outside website that is providing an avenue for voters to document irregularities they encounter in this election,' Elder spokesperson Ying Ma of the site.

California has long used voting by mail but this is the first race every active, registered voters were sent a ballot, which has stroked rumors and conspiracy theories in the lead up to election day.

Polls show Newsom in a comfortable lead and his campaign sounds confident of victory.

'There's no scenario where we lose tomorrow,' Newsom campaign adviser Sean Clegg told reporters Monday night in Long Beach. 'I may have a lot of Clegg on my face tomorrow, but I don't see a scenario where we're not talking about a victory for the governor,' he jokingly added.

The campaign's boast came after Newsom saw a steady five-week ascent in the polls after they appeared deadlocked in early August among those who wanted to keep Newsom and those who wanted to see him replaced.

Meanwhile, President Joe Biden went after 'Trump clone' Elder during a campaign rally for Newsom on Monday night.

'You either keep Gavin Newsom as your governor or you get Donald Trump,' Biden warned at the event on the campus of Long Beach City College.

Biden won California in the 2020 election by almost 30 points.

In Tuesday's election, voters in California will decide whether to keep Newsom or replace him with someone else, with polls showing Elder, a prominent conservative radio show host, as the most likely alternative.

'He's leading the other team. Can you imagine him being governor of this state?' the president asked. 'You can't let that happen. There's too much at stake.'

Elder has remained the top choice on the Republican side, despite saying that he believed white slave owners could be owed reparations for slavery - a remark that got national attention.

Both Biden and Newsom, who introduced the president at the rally site, warned that Elder could bring an anti-science agenda to the state, as the country still reels from the Delta surge of the COVID-19 pandemic.

'For these Republican governors, it's not about public health, the health of the people, it's about politics,' Biden complained.

He added that some of the most anti-vax Republican governors in the country also come from states where vaccine mandates for children going into schools - for diseases like measles and mumps - are some of the most strict.

'Just look at the hypocrisy,' Biden uttered. 'Talk about inconsistency.'

In California, 68% are fully vaccinated and there was anger in the state as mask mandates and other mitigation policies were reinstated after the Delta variant caused the infection rate to surge because of the unvaccinated.

Vaccine mandates are popular in the state with 61 per cent of California adults in favor of some kind of mandate according to a survey conducted by the Public Policy Institute of California conducted late last month.

Elder said, if he became governor, one of his first actions would be to eliminate Newsom's mandate for state workers to get vaccinated or else face weekly testing.

'We saw the Delta surge as a real inflection moment in this campaign. I think it was a turning point for us,' Clegg explained. 'What Delta brought into clear, clear focus was what the stakes are in this election. When one party has basically become an anti-science, anti-vaccine, anti-public health party.'

'Our message and endgame here reduced to a single sentence: a vote for this recall is a vote for a pro-Trump, anti-vaxx Republican governor who is going to reverse vaccine mandates on day one,' Clegg said.

Beyond the pandemic, Biden warned what could happen to abortion rights, pointing to the controversial Texas law that bars abortions after six weeks.

'Women are to be respected and their rights protected,' Biden urged.

Both Biden and Newsom also pointed to comments Elder made in 2000 when he wrote in a column, 'women know less than men about political issues, economics, and current events.'

'We have someone on the other side of this ballot who thinks women aren't as smart as men,' Newsom said to boos from the crowd.

Newsom has seen gains in the polls as he's nationalized the race - and gotten national political figures to come to California to stump for him.

Prior to Biden's visit - described by Clegg as 'the crescendo' - Vice President Kamala Harris, a former California senator, campaigned in the Bay Area with Newsom Wednesday. Former 2020 Democratic primary candidates and Sens. Elizabeth Warren and Amy Klobuchar made the trek the weekend before.

Some of Newsom's ads featured Sen. Bernie Sanders - popular with the progressive wing of the party - as well.

The state has recalled a Democratic governor once in the past and replaced him with a Republican.

In 2003, Democratic Gov. Gray Davis was recalled and replaced by actor Arnold Schwarzenegger.

Read more

Larry Elder's Chances of Replacing Gavin Newsom in California Recall Election .
The Republican candidate is facing an uphill battle as Newsom seems likely to beat the effort to remove him.Elder, who is running as a Republican, looks like he'll miss out on the state's top job, however. Bookmakers Betfair, which operates the world's largest online betting exchange, told Newsweek that Elder's odds of replacing Newsom stand at 8/1.

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