World: card. COVID-19: Is France more affected than its neighbors by the Omicron variant?

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The number of new cases beats records in France in recent days, and the Omicron variant is now majority. At our neighbors, situations vary and all are not affected in the same way.

With more than 200,000 daily cases these last two days, France takes the Omicron wave of full whip . The variant is now majority in the country , as in some of our neighbors: United Kingdom, Spain, Italy, Switzerland, Norway, Denmark ... but other countries seem less affected.

The incidence rate (number of cases per 100,000 inhabitants over 7 days) jumped in France in this end of December, reaching records since the beginning of the CVIV-19 epidemic. There are currently more than 2,000 cases per 100,000 population in Paris.

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It is not known how far the incidence rate may increase, warned Lætitia Huiart, Scientific Director of the Public Health Agency France at a press conference this Friday 31 December 2021 .

If France reaches levels never observed, the incidence rate is even higher in some of our neighbors. Here is the situation in Europe, according to data compiled as at December 31 by the World Health Organization:

Iceland, Ireland and Denmark have current incidence rates that of France. And we note that the Eastern countries seem less affected.

Collective immunity or restrictions?

The situation seems to have reversed compared to November, where the Delta wave had strongly experienced the east half of Europe .

When viewing the evolution of the number of cases by country, the differences are notable between the countries currently affected by Omicron and those who experienced a strong wave with Delta.

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Here are the incidence rates of countries highly affected in November by Delta (Austria, Germany, Belgium, the Netherlands) and countries where the Delta wave was supplanted by Omicron (Italy, Spain, United Kingdom, France, states -Inis):

like France, Spain, Italy and the US see the number of new contaminations explode with the arrival of the Omicron variant.

A contrario, the number of cases decreases in Austria, Germany , Belgium and the Netherlands, but the Omicron variant also circulates in these countries. Why this situation?

The strong Delta wave could have stimulated collective immunity in these countries, and limit Omicron's hold despite its contagiousness. This is the opinion the Belgian epidemiologist Yves Coppieters, cited by the Parisian , for others, of which Antoine Flahaut, it is the measures of restrictions still in force in these countries which have slowed the propagation of Omicron, but the rates could skyrocket. Here too it will be necessary to wait to see what are the trends beginning 2022.

A reassuring new has come from South Africa, the first country affected by the Omicron variant. The health authorities reported on Friday, December 31 that the epidemic peak related to the variant had passed, and that its impact on mortality was limited. According to our experts, Omicron has peaked without translationating a significant or alarming change regarding the number of hospitalizations, thus commented on South African minister to the Mondli Gungubele president, ensuring that the government would remain vigilant to the slightest evolution. opposite.

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