COVID-19 live updates: Quebec reports 515 cases as hospitalizations mount
Conservative Leader Erin O'Toole speaks out against protesters throwing gravel at Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau.
© Provided by The Gazette People's Party of Canada Leader Maxime Bernier is making waves in this campaign, garnering as much as 8 per cent support in some national polls, and 4.3 per cent in Quebec. He is in a tight race in Beauce riding against Richard Lehoux of the Conservatives.
Until late last week, polls were indicating the federal election results in this campaign in Quebec would look very similar to the last, in which the Liberals won 35 seats, the Bloc Québécois 32, the Conservatives 10 and the NDP just one.
But then Premier François Legault suggested a Conservative minority led by Erin O’Toole would be the best outcome for Quebec . And then the English leaders’ debate stirred controversy, with questions directed at Bloc Québécois Leader Yves-François Blanchet asking why he supports “discriminatory” Quebec laws like Bills 21 and 96, fanning the flames of outrage among many . Suddenly, the outlook for Quebec became much less clear.
The GTA's toss-up ridings could tell the story of the election
According to the most recent polling data, races in nine GTA ridings are toss-ups — eight of them in the critical 905, where Conservatives and Liberals are finding themselves in a dead heat. Those tight races matter because the region, which sends more MP's to Ottawa than Manitoba and Saskatchewan combined, is "a critical part of any winning formula for any of the parties," says political strategist Jaskaran Sandhu. "The density and the population obviously plays a significant impact on the seat counts that you need to form government," he told CBC Toronto.
“In part because of what happened last week, I think the Bloc is gaining ground, and they had not been doing so well in the campaign up till this point compared to 2019,” said Daniel Béland, director of the McGill Institute for the Study of Canada.
But Legault’s tacit support of the Conservatives could hamper the Bloc, Béland said, by drawing away some of their support in tight races, and possibly giving the vote to the Liberals.
Quebec is one of the few jurisdictions in Canada that has several three- and even four-party races, said James Kelley, a professor of political science at Concordia University.
“We don’t really have a national campaign in Quebec. We have a series of regional or provincial campaigns,” he said. “Once you get out of Montreal it does in many cases turn into a four-party contest, which are too close to call.”
COVID-19 live updates: Hospitalizations continue to rise as Quebec reports 782 cases, 2 deaths
Updated throughout the day on Wednesday, Sept. 16. Questions/comments: [email protected] Top updates Can remaining unvaccinated health workers really all get the shot by Oct. 15 deadline? Charts: Who’s still getting COVID and ending up in hospitals in Quebec Conservative Leader Erin O’Toole evades questions about Alberta’s response to COVID-19 surge Video: Federal health officials provide COVID-19 update Hospitalizations continue to rise as Quebec reports 782 cases, 2 deaths Province’s cumulative total cases since start of the pandemic is now over 400,000 Businesses see drop in customers as grace period for Quebec vaccine passport expires Record number of mail-
As of Wednesday, there were 14 races considered a “toss-up” by the poll tracking website 338Canada.com.
Here are some of the Quebec ridings to watch on election night Monday. © Justin Tang Liberal incumbent Soraya Martinez Ferrada is in a three-way race to keep her seat in Hochelaga riding.
Island of Montreal
Densely populated and mercurial, Hochelaga is shaping up as one of the tightest races on the island of Montreal, with the Bloc Québécois looking to come back after Simon Marchand lost in 2019 by a scant 319 votes to Liberal incumbent Soraya Martinez Ferrada.
Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau has visited the riding to bolster Martinez Ferrada’s chances, but both candidates will also have to contend with the NDP’s Catheryn Roy-Goyette, a housing activist in a riding where rising prices have put affordability top of mind.
The riding is known to swing, going Liberal in 2019, NDP in 2015 and 2011, and voting staunchly Bloc for two decades prior to the Orange Wave.
COMMENTARY: A tarnished Trudeau, Bernier bump or hung Parliament? Shockers and probabilities for election night
We’re almost certainly getting another minority government come election night, says Randy Boswell, and it may not be immediately clear who will get to become prime minister. That’s right: finishing first in Monday’s vote is not an iron-clad guarantee the top party’s leader will take command of the Prime Minister's Office (PMO). However, the threshold for forming a government isn’t complicated. Strike a formal or tacit agreement among 170 MPs to pursue a legislative agenda — from as many parties as it takes — and you get the keys to the kingdom.
© John Mahoney Alexandre Boulerice, NDP incumbent in the riding of Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie, has strong name recognition.
In part because it’s home to Alexandre Boulerice, the last NDP MP standing in Quebec, both the Bloc — with candidate Shophika Vaithyanathasarma — and the Liberals — with former Olympic hockey medallist and sports broadcaster Nancy Drolet — are exercising extra effort here.
Despite that, Béland predicts Boulerice should survive because of his strong name recognition and popularity in the riding, and his support from unions and Québéc solidaire. Boulerice won in 2019 with 42 per cent of the vote. © Adrian Wyld Former actor Denis Trudel of the Bloc won the vote in Longueuil—Saint-Hubert riding by a narrow margin over Liberal Réjean Hébert in 2019.
This South Shore riding was held by Pierre Nantel of the NDP, until he moved to the Greens in August 2019, two months before the federal election, saying the NDP wasn’t doing enough on climate change. Former actor Denis Trudel of the Bloc won the vote by a narrow margin over Liberal Réjean Hébert. Nantel came in a distant third.
The West Block — Episode 45, Season 10
Watch the full episode of The West Block with host Mercedes Stephenson – Sept. 19, 2021Episode 45, Season 10
This time it’s Florence Gagnon of the Liberals taking on Trudel of the Bloc in a close race. © Dave Sidaway Liberal incumbent Sherry Romanado is taking on Nathalie Boisclair of the Bloc Québécois in Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne riding.
The Liberals, who won the riding by 1,320 votes in 2019 over the Bloc, have a 3-per-cent lead going into these elections, considered too close to call. Incumbent Sherry Romanado is taking on Nathalie Boisclair of the Bloc Québécois this time.
Until last week, the Liberals held a seemingly insurmountable lead, with their chances of winning listed at between 80 and 90 per cent throughout the campaign, as compared to 20 per cent for the Bloc on poll tracker website 338Canada. Following the English debate, the two parties are neck and neck. The Liberals, who won by only 639 votes in 2019 have a slight lead over the Bloc, with incumbent Brenda Shanahan, a former banker and financial analyst, facing Patrick O’Hara, an anglophone of Irish heritage with a lengthy background of organizing community events running for the Bloc.
Situated just north of Laval, the riding was won by Ramez Ayoub of the Liberals by about 3,000 votes in 2015, then the Bloc’s Louise Chabot, a nurse and union leader, took it in 2019 by roughly 3,500 votes. The two are squaring off once again. This week saw Chabot with a four-point advance over Ayoub, a former city councillor and mayor of Lorraine.
Federal election live updates: Tight results expected as polls close in Quebec
This is the Montreal Gazette’s live election night coverage. Questions/comments? [email protected] Top updates: Tight results expected as polls close in Quebec As long as you arrive before your polling station closes, you can vote: Elections Canada Video: Montrealers sound off on the federal election campaign Seven people injured after being struck by vehicle outside West Island polling station There were long waits at some Montreal polling stations today Election results start trickling in as polls close in Atlantic Canada Canada’s COVID-19 response could be key factor for many voters, poll suggests Here are 14 Quebec ridings to watch tonight Leaders make last-m
Maxime Bernier won handily from 2006 onward when he was with the Conservatives, then lost in 2019 when he formed the People’s Party of Canada after losing in his bid to become leader of the Conservative party. He lost by roughly 6,000 votes to Richard Lehoux of the Conservatives , and is facing Lehoux again this year.
But Bernier’s party is making waves in this campaign, garnering as much as 8 per cent support in some national polls, and 4.3 per cent in Quebec, resonating with voters who respond to his call for less government controls and an end to vaccine and mask mandates. That’s far beyond the 1.6 per cent of the vote he got in 2019.
Poll tracking site 338Canada has the Conservatives ahead by a narrow margin, but factoring in the margin of error, says it’s too close to call.
The voters of this riding, which straddles the Eastern Townships and Montérégie regions, have chosen three different parties in the last three elections, going NDP in 2011, Liberal in 2015 and Bloc in 2019. Bloc candidate Andréanne Larouche won by less than 1,000 votes over Pierre Breton of the Liberals last time, and the two are squaring off again this year. Polls show them running neck and neck.
This riding featured a tight three-way race between the Bloc, Liberals and the Conservatives in 2019, with the Bloc beating the Conservatives by exactly 2,000 votes, and the Liberals by fewer than 1,500 votes.
Poll tracker 338Canada has the Conservative candidate, Yves Lévesque, and the Bloc’s René Villemure each garnering 27 per cent of the vote and the Liberals’ Martin Francoeur 26 per cent, making the race too close to call.
NDP's Brosseau poised to win amid few changes to Quebec electoral map
MONTREAL – Just as the election produced a national result that changed little, only a meagre handful of Quebec seats appeared at risk of flipping late Monday in what is usually a battleground province. With most of the province’s 78 seats called around 11:30 p.m. Eastern, the Liberals seem poised to maintain a slim lead in seats over the Bloc Québécois , exactly like in 2019. That means that none of the major federal leaders successfully turned a significant number of voters away from Yves-François Blanchet ’s party. As of 11:50 p.m. Eastern, the Liberals were leading in or had won 35 ridings, the Bloc Québécois was at 29, the Conservatives at 12 and the NDP at two.
© Adrian Wyld Liberal incumbent Jean-Yves Duclos is in a squeaker with Bloc candidate Louis Sansfaçon in the riding of Québec.
Quebec City region
Beauport—Limoilou, north of Quebec City, went Bloc in 2019, Conservative in 2015 and NDP in 2011. This time around the polls have Bloc incumbent Julie Vignola in a dead heat with the Liberals (Ann Gingras) and Conservatives (Alupa Clarke), with 28 per cent support each.
Last week, the Conservatives’ chances of winning this riding east of Quebec City were listed at over 90 per cent versus the Bloc at roughly 10 per cent.
Following the English-language debate, the Bloc have moved up to 57 per cent, and the Conservatives are at 43 per cent. Conservative candidate Véronique Laprise has made slight gains in the last days on Bloc incumbent Caroline Desbiens.
Won by Liberal Jean-Yves Duclos, the current president of the federal Treasury Board, in 2019 by a mere 325 votes over the Bloc, the Liberals are now forecast to have slight odds of winning in this Quebec City riding, against the Bloc’s Louis Sansfaçon.
COVID-19 live updates: Quebec reports 701 cases, 2 deaths as hospitalizations jump .
Updated throughout the day on Friday, Sept. 24. Questions/comments: [email protected] Top updates If Roberge were a woman, Legault would have fired him, Liberal critic says Montreal Canadiens to get government financial support for mural promoting downtown workplaces A Montreal regional health authority is calling 2,000 former workers, encouraging them to return – Dubé Quebec reports 701 cases, 2 deaths as hospitalizations jump Live: Federal health officials provide COVID-19 update Study got calculation wrong, exaggerating risk of heart inflammation after COVID vaccine Quebec announces new mask rules for private seniors’ residences in some regions Young children ha