Sport: Zschaber's Börsenblick: World Championship - also on the stock exchange?

© provided by Wirtschaftswoche Apart from the World Cup title, the Argentinians have little reason to celebrate. Photo: Dpadata portal copyright =

The World Cup recently ended has drawn the attention of the world public in Argentina. Why a look at emerging countries is basically worthwhile for investors.

When Argentina crowned the world football champion a week ago, the tenor of the commentators around the world was often the same: that the South American country had the title is so gratifying apart from all sporting aspects because this title is balm for the battered soul of the Argentine. For the residents of a country, which has otherwise had little to laugh about for years, especially not in economic terms - the current inflation of around 100 percent is only an indicator of many who illustrate the country at the other end of the Atlantic is.

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Since the last state bankruptcy of Argentina, a good 20 years have been past. But since then Argentina has been literally in permanent crisis mode, and has repeatedly struggled with the problems for South America such as political scandals and corruption. The unemployment rate with 6.9 percent (forecast for 2022) is not exorbitant far away from that in Germany (November 2022: 5.3 percent) - this is among other things due to the high quota of employment in state offices, but the gross domestic product ( GDP) is only around a seventh of Germany's BIP (2021: 3.6 trillion euros versus $ 492 million). And this despite the fact that Argentina has a population (46 million), which is more than 50 percent of those of Germany. The coming years will only show whether the emotional rush of height that the World Cup title brings with it will really cause sustainable economic impulse in Argentina.

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now also suffered quite better in 2022, in which the previous two decades were much better than in Argentina from the bottom line. As in the rest of the world, in addition to a galloping inflation, the rising interest, high energy costs or holey supply chains were also challenges that put the respective economies under pressure.

The fact that the stock markets in the emerging countries were particularly under pressure and above average under average are not only due to the economic development itself, but also due to the almost traditional behavior of the market participants: When it becomes restless on the stock exchanges, investors in the Usually the willingness to take risks - and they withdraw from supposedly unsafe markets. The indices in the threshold states, which - if you approach the IMDEX MSCI EM - have developed more strongly than the MSCI World, which is broadly positioned worldwide, but a focus on western industrialized countries, especially the USA, has.

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But: As soon as the mood and the location of the global capital markets increase again - and that should be the case in the not too distant future if the currently extremely high level of uncertainty has again reached a normal level - the stock exchanges in the emerging markets could benefit particularly vigorously. Because the medium and long-term growth drivers in these countries are still intact- and they will be the load-bearing pillars of global economic growth in the coming decades. The development of the past few weeks has already shown that a little more confidence by the investors can inspire the threshold markets of the emerging states, the MSCI EM has recently presented itself significantly better than the MSCI World.

For long -term investors, an ETF on the MSCI EM can be a good admixture for a broad portfolio, which should also take enough growth opportunities into account. And these offer the emerging countries - to believe in it, you don't have to be a Argentine or Moroccan, not even football fan.

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