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Health & Fit: Drosten: Virus will spread more evenly across the country

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The regional differences that have so far been pronounced in the coronavirus epidemic in Germany will disappear, according to virologist Christian Drosten.

Christian Drosten, Direktor des Instituts für Virologie an der Charité in Berlin. © Photo: Christophe Gateau / dpa Christian Drosten, Director of the Virology Institute at the Charité in Berlin.

The initial effect that the virus initially spreads strongly locally after introduction, as previously in Bavaria, Baden-Württemberg and North Rhine-Westphalia, will continue to blur, the Charité scientist said on Thursday in the NDR podcast.

It can already be seen that “local clustering” is slowly dissolving. "The virus will now spread throughout Germany over the next few weeks and months, over the summer." This more even distribution occurs despite the social distancing measures, as there are still transfers.

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One of the lessons from the Spanish flu is that changes in the background of the epidemic have to be taken into account: At that time, some US cities did not notice anything at the time, according to Drosten. Over the summer there was an unnoticed, more even spread and then in winter there were infection chains in all places.

Positive surprises are also possible, said Drosten. There are still many remaining questions, such as the role of children in Sars-CoV-2. Also, apparently relatively few people were infected in households, as new data from China suggested. Perhaps there is a background immunity from cold corona viruses that has so far gone unnoticed. Research must clarify such aspects.

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