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Entertainment: do not listen to the crash warnings! There is no bubble at Tech shares

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The stock markets are highly evaluated and growth shares are again more expensive. Therefore, the warning makes the round before an upcoming crash at Tech shares. Also comparisons with the year 1999 you read again and again in the media. The price development at the stock market in the following years 2000 and 2001 should be well known to you.

A survey shows the Bank of America under Professional Investors: Tech shares are so unpopular with the portfolio managers. That sounds negative. But if you think about it, these news are actually quite reassuring.

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Bank of America survey invalidated crash warnings

The Bank of America knocks on monthly the mood under 329 portfolio managers who manage more than one trillion US dollars.

The survey for January 2022 brought some amazing findings. Professional investors have reduced their net superweight of technology shares to just 1%. In plain text, this means: The average fund manager weighs Tech shares currently as high as in his comparative index. The professionals are voted neutral to the growth shares from the technology sector.

These results are amazing because the portfolio manager has not been so pessimistic since the 2008 financial crisis as well as now. Even in December 2021, the tech obesity was 21%.

The drastic change in the mood of technology shares is mainly due to the growing expectation of rising interest rates and explains the weak start of growth of many growth shares and tech values. The American Tech Index NASDAQ 100 has been nearly 7% since the beginning of the year (as of January 18, 2022). However, you can not speak of genuine pessimism - after all, the portfolio manager Tech shares did not underweight.

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and on?

that many shares have high price profit ratios (KGVS) can not be denied. That this quota is noticeable among the big tech stocks, not. But the results of this survey show why I do not expect a crash at growth shares this year.

Because the fund managers interviewed by the Bank of America have shown their statements: Tech shares do not receive their high valuations because they are cheered up by the investors, but because they deserve them. The mood is neutral. This is really no breeding ground for a crash at Tech shares.

instead, I expect the corporations to make it to grow through profit growth in their evaluations. The market has anticipated this earnings growth because the majority of investors have previously expected. We would only experience a crash if clear: Apple , Amazon and Co. have already reached Zenit. Not due to increasing interest and certainly not if the mood of investors is neutral.

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Therefore, I will stick to my tech shares. If it's unexpectedly to come to a crash, then I like to get ready to collect a few of them.

The article does not listen to the crash warnings! There is no bubble at Tech shares first appeared on The Motley Fool Germany .

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Christoph Gössel has shares from Amazon. John Mackey, CEO of Whole Foods Market, Amazon's subsidiary, is a member of the Motley Fool board. Bank of America is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a company of The Motley Fool. The Motley Fool owns and recommends shares from Amazon and Apple. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: Long January 2022 $ 1,920 Calls on Amazon, Long March 2023 $ 120 Calls on Apple, Short January 2022 $ 1,940 Calls on Amazon and Short March 2023 $ 130 Calls on Apple.

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