After a second consecutive awards season up-ended by the pandemic, the 2023 Oscars should see a return to relative normalcy. The 95th Academy Awards is set for March 12, 2023 in its traditional home, the Dolby Theater. Films released theatrically from January 1 to December 31 of 2022 are eligible for consideration. Scroll down for the 2023 Oscars Best Picture predictions. (Only movies confirmed for release in 2022 are included; keep checking back as new contenders enter the race.)
Some of the early Oscar hopefuls were launched at Sundance in January and Cannes in May. Four more film festivals — Telluride Venice, Toronto and New York — will showcase more movies. Others will forego the festival circuit entirely.
Chris Rock Jokes That He Was Slapped by 'Suge Smith' During Atlanta Comedy Show Set
Chris Rock's set at the Fox Theatre in Atlanta came hours after Will Smith issued his first on-camera apology to the comedian over his March Oscars slapIn Chris Rock's first comedy show after Will Smith released a new video apologizing for slapping him at the 2022 Oscars, the comedian joked about the slap — but didn't address Smith's apology.
More from GoldDerby
- Craig Henighan ('Stranger Things' sound design) on orchestrating creepy clocks and demogorgons [Exclusive Video Interview]
- Box office preview: Brad Pitt's 'Bullet Train' speeds into theaters along with Jo Koy's 'Easter Sunday' comedy
- Don Roy King and Liz Patrick ('Saturday Night Live' directors) on the 'remarkable tornado' of 'SNL' [Exclusive Video Interview]
To make our 2023 Oscar predictions for Best Picture, we consider many factors: the pedigree of the filmmakers, the critical reception to their previous films, the box office tally and the track record of the studios.
UPDATED: August 4, 2022
DISCUSS All the Oscar contenders with Hollywood insiders in our notorious forums
Leading Contenders (in alphabetical order)
What Shawn Mendes Has Said About Canceling His Tour
Shawn Mendes took to Instagram to share his feelings and reasons for bringing his Wonder world tour to an end.The 23-year-old singer is canceling over 80 shows. He wrote on Instagram that he had made the decision "that I need to take the time I've never taken personally to ground myself and come back stronger.
“Amsterdam” (20th Century – Fall)
Director: David O. Russell
Writer: David O. Russell
Cast: Margot Robbie, Christian Bale, Anya Taylor-Joy, Robert De Niro
Plot: Set in the ’30s, it follows three friends who witness a murder, become suspects themselves, and uncover one of the most outrageous plots in American history.
“Avatar: The Way of Water” (2oth Century – Winter)
Director: James Cameron
Writer: James Cameron
Cast: Sam Worthington, Zoe Saldana, Sigourney Weaver, Stephen Lang, Cliff Curtis, CCH Pounder, Edie Falco, Jemaine Clement, Kate Winslet
“Babylon” (Paramount – Winter)
Director: Damien Chazelle
Writer: Damien Chazelle
Cast: Margot Robbie, Brad Pitt, Olivia Wilde, Samara Weaving
Plot: Set in Hollywood during the transition from silent films to talkies, focusing on a mixture of historical & fictional characters.
“The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight – Fall)
Director: Martin McDonagh
The best Chinese films and TV shows to watch with family
The best Chinese films and TV shows to watch with family
Writer: Martin McDonagh
Cast: Colin Farrell, Barry Keoghan, Kerry Condon, Brendan Gleeson
Plot: Two lifelong friends find themselves at an impasse when one abruptly ends their relationship, with alarming consequences for both of them.
“Bardo” (Netflix – Fall)
Director: Alejandro G. Inarritu
Writers: Inarritu, Nicolas Giacobone
Cast: Daniel Gimenez Cacho, Griselda Siciliani
Plot: A comedy about a journalist in Mexico City.
“Empire of Light” (Searchlight – Fall)
Director: Sam Mendes
Writer: Sam Mendes
Cast: Olivia Colman, Colin Firth, Micheal Ward, Tom Brooke, Tanya Moodie, Toby Jones, Hannah Onslow
Plot: A love story that takes place in an English coastal cinema during the 1980s.
“The Fabelmans” (Universal – Fall)
Director: Steven Spielberg
Writers: Steven Spielberg, Tony Kushner
Cast: Michelle Williams, Seth Rogen, Paul Dano, Gabriel LaBelle
Plot: A semi-autobiography based on Spielberg’s own childhood growing up in post-war Arizona, from age seven to eighteen.
“The Greatest Beer Run Ever” (Apple TV+ – Fall)
Director: Peter Farrelly
Writers: Brian Hayes Currie, Peter Farrelly and Pete Jones who adapted the non-fiction book of the same name by Joanna Molloy and John “Chickie” Donohue.
Willow Smith Breaks Her Silence on Dad Will Smith’s Oscars Slap: ‘I Love and Accept’ My Family for ‘Being Human’
It may not feel like it sometimes, but any upcoming movie has the chance to be named “the greatest movie ever made” by someone out there. However, that honor does have some specific caveats if you’re someone like filmmaker Quentin Tarantino. Not only has the "Once Upon a TimeIn Hollywood" director chosen a Steven Spielberg classic for that very distinction, Tarantino also explained just why that title is very specific. In an upcoming interview with our in-house podcast ReelBlend, Quentin Tarantino made his fourth appearance to talk about all things movies; the first since the big live show at the New Beverly Cinema. Promoting his new co-hosting gig on The Video Archives Podcast, Tarantino had yet another spirited discussion about cinema, which led to his pick of Steven Spielberg’s "Jaws" as the greatest “movie” ever made. That distinction is important, as the "Once Upon A Time…In Hollywood" director made that perfectly clear through the following remarks.
Cast: Zac Efron, Russell Crowe, Bill Murray
Plot: The true story of a man bringing beer to his childhood buddies in the Army while they are fighting in Vietnam.
“Women Talking” (UA – Fall)
Director: Sarah Polley
Writer: Sarah Polley, who adapted the novel of the same name by Miriam Toews.
Cast: Jessie Buckley, Ben Whishaw, Frances McDormand, Rooney Mara, Claire Foy
Plot: A group of women in an isolated religious colony as they struggle to reconcile their faith with a string of sexual assaults committed by the colony’s men.
Strong Contenders (in alphabetical order)
Zoë Kravitz wishes she had approached Will Smith slap critique 'differently'
Zoë Kravitz, who had publicly critique Will Smith about slapping Chris Rock at the 2022 Oscars, now wishes she "had handled that differently."After the March ceremony, Kravitz shared an Instagram post of the bubblegum pink dress she wore for the red carpet, captioning the image: "Here’s a picture of my dress at the show where we are apparently assaulting people on stage now.
“Armageddon Time” (Focus – Fall)
Director: James Gray
Writer: James Gray
Cast: Michael Banks Repeta, Anne Hathaway, Anthony Hopkins, Jeremy Strong, Jaylin Webb
Plot: A deeply personal coming-of-age story about the strength of family and the pursuit of the American Dream.
“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Disney – Fall)
Director: Ryan Coogler
Writers: Ryan Coogler, Joe Robert Cole
Cast: Lupita Nyong’o, Letitia Wright, Danai Gurira, Winston Duke, Michaela Coel, Martin Freeman, Angela Bassett
Plot: A sequel that explores the world of Wakanda introduced in the 2018 film.
“Bones and All” (UA – Fall)
Director: Luca Guadagnino
Writer: David Kajganich, who adapted the novel of the same name by Camille DeAngelis.
Cast: Michael Stuhlbarg, Timothée Chalamet, Mark Rylance, Chloë Sevigny
Academy CEO Bill Kramer Addressed The Will Smith Scandal And Oscars' Future
Recently, Academy CEO Bill Kramer expressed his optimism about the ceremony's future.It was definitely a huge scandal for the Oscars; though some actually thought it was good for their publicity. But recently, The Academy CEO, Bill Kramer has also expressed his optimism about the ceremony's future. Here are his plans for 2023.
Plot: Maren, a young woman, learns how to survive on the margins of society.
“Causeway” (Apple TV+ – Winter)
Director: Lila Neugebauer
Writer: Elizabeth Sanders, Luke Goebel, Ottessa Moshfegh
Cast; Jennifer Lawrence, Brian Tyree Henry, Samira Wiley
Plot: A US soldier suffers a traumatic brain injury while fighting in Afghanistan and struggles to adjust to life back home.
“Don’t Worry Darling” (WB – Fall)
Directors: Olivia Wilde
Writers: Katie Silberman, Carey Van Dyke, Shane Van Dyke
Cast: Florence Pugh, Harry Styles, Olivia Wilde, Gemma Chan, Chris Pine
Plot: A 1950s housewife living with her husband in a utopian experimental community begins to worry that his glamorous company may be hiding disturbing secrets.
“Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24 – Spring)
Directors: Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert
Writers: Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert
Cast: Michelle Yeoh, Stephanie Hsu, Harry Shum Jr., Jamie Lee Curtis
Plot: An aging Chinese immigrant is swept up in an insane adventure, where she alone can save the world by exploring other universes connecting with the lives she could have led.
“Poor Things” (Searchlight – Fall)
Director: Yorgos Lanthimos
Writer: Tony McNamara, who adapted the novel “Poor Things” by Alasdair Gray
Cast: Emma Stone, Willem Dafoe, Ramy Youssef, Mark Ruffalo, Jerrod Carmichael, Margaret Qualley
Plot: The story of a young woman brought back to life by an eccentric but brilliant scientist.
“She Said” (Universal – Fall)
Director: Maria Schrader
Writer: Rebecca Lenkiewicz, who adapted the non-fiction book of the same name by Jodi Kantor and Megan Twohey.
Best Football Movies of All Time, According to Critics
At their best, football flicks from "Rudy" to "The Waterboy" transcend the sport and go on to highlight the greatest aspects of the human condition.
Cast: Carey Mulligan, Jennifer Ehle, Samantha Morton, Tom Pelphrey,
Plot: New York Times reporters Megan Twohey and Jodi Kantor write a ground-breaking story about sexual assault in Hollywood.
“The Son ” (SPC – Fall)
Director: Florian Zeller
Writer: Florian Zeller, who adapted his play of the same name.
Cast: Hugh Jackman, Vanessa Kirby, Laura Dern, Anthony Hopkins
Plot: Peter’s busy life with new partner Emma and their baby is thrown into disarray when his ex-wife Kate turns up with their teenage son, Nicholas.
“Tar” (Focus – Fall)
Director: Todd Field
Writer: Todd Field
Cast: Cate Blanchett, Nina Hoss, Noémie Merlant, Mark Strong
Plot: The story of Lydia Tar, the first-ever female chief conductor of a major German orchestra.
“White Noise” (Netflix – Fall)
Director: Noah Baumbach
Writer: Noah Baumbach, who adapted the novel of the same name by Don DeLillo.
Cast: Adam Driver, Greta Gerwig, Raffey Cassidy, Alessandro Nivola
Plot: A contemporary American family attempts to deal with the mundane conflicts of everyday life while grappling with the universal mysteries of love, death, and the possibility of happiness in an uncertain world.
“The Woman King” (Sony – Fall)
Director: Gina Prince-Bythewood
Writers: Gina Prince-Bythewood and Dana Stevens; story by Maria Bello
Cast: Viola Davis, Lashana Lynch, Hero Fiennes Tiffin, John Boyega
Plot: A historical epic inspired by the true events that happened in The Kingdom of Dahomey, one of the most powerful states of Africa in the 18th and 19th centuries.
Possible Contenders (in alphabetical order)
“Blonde” (Netflix – Fall)
Director: Andrew Dominik
Writer: Andrew Dominik who adapted the novel of the same name by Joyce Carol Oates.
Cast: Ana De Armas, Adrien Brody, Bobby Cannavale, Julianne Nicholson
Plot: A fictionalized take on the life of Marilyn Monroe.
“Decision to Leave” (MUBI – Fall)
Director: Park Chan-wook
Writers: Park Chan-wook, Jeong Seo-kyeong
Cast: Tang Wei, Park Hae-il
Plot: A detective investigating a man’s death in the mountains meets the dead man’s mysterious wife in the course of his dogged sleuthing.
“Elvis” (Warner Bros. – Summer)
Director: Baz Luhrmann
Writers: Baz Luhrmann, Sam Bromell, Craig Pearce, Jeremy Doner
Cast: Austin Butler, Tom Hanks, Olivia DeJonge, Helen Thomson
Plot: The story of Elvis Presley, from his childhood to becoming a rock and movie star in the 1950s while maintaining a complex relationship with his manager, Colonel Tom Parker.
“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” (Netflix – Fall)
Director: Rian Johnson
Writer: Rian Johnson
Cast: Daniel Craig, Ethan Hawke, Jessica Henwick, Dave Bautista
Plot: Sequel to the 2019 film ‘Knives Out’.
“I Wanna Dance with Somebody” (Sony – Winter)
Director: Kasi Lemmons
Writer: Anthony McCarten
Cast: Naomi Ackie, Ashton Sanders, Stanley Tucci
Plot: Tracking Whitney Houston’s journey from obscurity to musical superstardom.
“A Man Called Otto” (Sony – Winter)
Director: Marc Forster
Writer: David Magee, who adapted the novel of the same name by Fredrik Backman.
Cast: Tom Hanks, Mariana Treviño, Rachel Keller, Manuel Garcia-Rulfo
Plot: A cranky retired man strikes up an unlikely friendship with his boisterous new neighbors. A remake of the 2015 Swedish film of the same name.
“Till” (UA – Fall)
Director: Chinonye Chukwu
Writers: Michael Reilly, Keith Beauchamp, Chinonye Chukwu
Cast: Danielle Deadwyler, Whoopi Goldberg, Jalyn Hall, Frankie Faison, Jayme Lawson
Plot: The story of Emmett Louis Till and the legacy of his mother who pursued justice for her lynched son.
“Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount – Spring)
Director: Joseph Kosinski
Writers: Ehren Kruger, Eric Warren Singer, Christopher McQuarrie; Story by Peter Craig, Justin Marks
Cast: Tom Cruise, Miles Teller, Jennifer Connelly, Jon Hamm, Ed Harris, Val Kilmer
Plot: Pete Mitchell continues to be a courageous test pilot, dodging the advancement in rank that would ground him.
“Triangle of Sadness” (Neon – Fall)
Director: Ruben Ostlund
Writer: Ruben Ostlund
Cast: Harris Dickinson, Charlbi Dean, Woody Harrelson
Plot: A cruise for the super-rich sinks thus leaving survivors, including a fashion model celebrity couple, trapped on an island.
“The Whale” (A24 – Fall)
Director: Darren Aronofsky
Writer: Samuel D. Hunter
Cast: Brendan Fraser, Sadie Sink, Samantha Morton, Ty Simpkins
Plot: A reclusive English teacher suffering from severe obesity attempts to reconnect with his estranged teenage daughter for one last chance at redemption.
Make your predictions at Gold Derby now. Download our free and easy app for Apple/iPhone devices or Android (Google Play) to compete against legions of other fans plus our experts and editors for best prediction accuracy scores. See our latest prediction champs. Can you top our esteemed leaderboards next? Always remember to keep your predictions updated because they impact our latest racetrack odds, which terrify Hollywood chiefs and stars. Don’t miss the fun. Speak up and share your huffy opinions in our famous forums where 5,000 showbiz leaders lurk every day to track latest awards buzz. Everybody wants to know: What do you think? Who do you predict and why? © Provided by Gold Derby
Best of GoldDerby
- 2023 Oscars: Best Adapted Screenplay Predictions
- 2023 Oscars: Best Supporting Actress Predictions
- 2023 Oscars: Best Supporting Actor Predictions
Sign up for Gold Derby's Newsletter. For the latest news, follow us on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram.
Click here to read the full article.