Democrats lost a 12-point edge among voters who received expanded child tax credit payments, GOP now holds slight lead: poll
Among all voters, 43% would back a Democrat if the election were held today, while 43% would vote Republican, per a new Morning Consult/Politico poll.There will be 34 US Senate elections this year, but control of the US Senate will hinge on just nine contests.
Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey declared in January 2021 that he was “100 percent” focused on his current job and uninterested in a bid for Senate. But speculation among state political insiders that Ducey is plotting a late entry into the Senate race has escalated in recent weeks — a development that would scramble a contest that is pivotal to the battle for the Senate majority.
The term-limited Republican governor, now in his last year of office, has not said anything publicly that suggests he has changed his mind. The Aug. 2 GOP primary to take on Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly is well underway as state Attorney General Mark Brnovich, venture capitalist Blake Masters, solar power executive Jim Lamon and state emergency leader Mick McGuire compete for the nomination, a race that has already generated millions of dollars in Republican ad spending.
Republican governor says Trump is backing 'crazy' candidates for the GOP's primary races and is 'going to lose in 2022'
"The primaries are critically important because they are going to determine what the Republican Party looks like," said Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan.Both Democrats and Republicans have their eyes on the key swing states of Arizona, Georgia, Florida, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Wisconsin. All are considered competitive by the Cook Political Report, which tracks congressional and presidential races, as well as operatives and pollsters from both parties.
Ducey’s final State of the State address on Monday, however, left the Arizona State Capitol Complex abuzz after the governor used the speech to repeatedly criticize the federal government. His address included six mentions of Washington, D.C., along with sustained attacks on President Joe Biden and his administration — the kind of broadsides more likely to come from a candidate for federal office than a governor outlining his final state legislative agenda.
To many Arizona Republicans, he didn’t sound like a man who believes his political career is winding down this year.
National Republicans have continued to hold out hope that the governor would reconsider his decision. Ducey has won statewide office three times, including as state treasurer. He also has across-the-board name recognition and a well-oiled campaign infrastructure. Just as important, as Kelly starts the year with nearly $20 million on hand, Ducey has honed his fundraising skills and amassed a network of national donors after serving the last year as chair of the Republican Governors Association.
31% of Alaskans support Sarah Palin's new House campaign. But 51% say they have an unfavorable opinion of her.
The former Alaska governor currently leads the field in a poll but a new ranked-choice ballot could prevent Sarah Palin from making it to DC.Both Democrats and Republicans have their eyes on the key swing states of Arizona, Georgia, Florida, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Wisconsin. All are considered competitive by the Cook Political Report, which tracks congressional and presidential races, as well as operatives and pollsters from both parties.
“These are all the kinds of metrics that the professional watchers look for in a prospective candidate, and he checks every box,” said Kirk Adams, Ducey’s former chief of staff. “Just because he can do it doesn’t mean he will do it.”
In the last several months, Ducey has brought on four new staffers who previously worked for Arizona Sens. John McCain and Jeff Flake, including two who were state directors, according to a POLITICO review of the governor’s office’s staff announcements.
Ducey’s campaign spokesperson did not respond to requests for comment for this story,
With a filing deadline of April 4 to collect and submit thousands of petition signatures, Ducey doesn’t have much longer to decide. A Ducey for Senate announcement, if it comes, would likely take place by the end of February, according to a source familiar with the governor’s circle.
Video: Biden says he and Manchin are 'going to get something done' (Reuters)
Rep. Ruben Gallego, a rumored primary challenger to Kyrsten Sinema, smashed his personal fundraising records in the first quarter of 2022
Gallego's congressional campaign said he had his best fundraising quarter ever after progressives began looking for primary challenger to take on Sinema from the left.Gallego will report raising $512,740 for his House race in the first three months of the year, which is almost four times more than his haul in the first quarter of 2020, his campaign confirmed to Insider. He raised a total of $1,824,000 over the course of the 2020 election cycle.
Former President Donald Trump looms as a powerful force in the race. Trump, who has a rally scheduled Saturday in Phoenix, has made Ducey a frequent target of abuse, criticizing him over the last year for his refusal to embrace election fraud conspiracies. In June, the former president said that the Ducey “could not get the nomination” for Senate, if he ran.
Despite endorsing in the state’s 2022 gubernatorial and secretary of state races, Trump has yet to get behind anyone in the Senate primary, where Brnovich, the current frontrunner, has struggled to command a significant lead as nearly half of primary voters remain undecided, according to recent polling.
Like Ducey, Brnovich has faced Trump’s ire for not seeking to overturn Biden’s Arizona victory. The two statewide Republicans who were first elected to their posts in 2014, however, have a frosty relationship dating back years, and have not worked particularly closely together while in office.
In November, the former president appeared at a fundraiser held at a Mar-a-Lago for Masters.
McConnell said Trump is 'always setting up somebody to blame it on' ahead of Georgia's pivotal 2021 Senate runoffs
McConnell's worst fears came to fruition and the GOP would go on to lose the runoffs and control of the Senate. Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell told reporters ahead of Georgia's critical runoff races in 2021 that he felt President Donald Trump was looking for someone to blame if the party lost the contests that would decide who controlled the chamber.
“I think he’s self-perpetuating it to keep his name out there and to keep himself relevant,” Arizona Republican strategist Chuck Coughlin said of the Ducey rumors. “I just don’t see why he does it. It’s masochistic. He’s definitely not that guy.”
Following reports this week that Maryland Republican Gov. Larry Hogan is still being courted for and is considering a Senate run this year, a person involved with national Senate races said Ducey is “certainly more likely than Hogan” to get in, and that there has been an uptick in conversations in recent weeks about a Ducey run.
Spokespeople for Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell and the National Republican Senatorial Committee declined to comment on the prospects of Ducey getting into the race.
Adams said the governor would be the “prohibitive favorite to be the next United States senator” if he became the Republican nominee.
But even Arizona Republicans who believe Ducey would be the top candidate in the race are skeptical of the notion that he has changed his mind.
“The rumors never stop,” said Sean Noble, a GOP political consultant in Arizona. “There continue to be rumors. There are capable people running in the Senate race right now, most of which would be strong opponents” against Kelly.
Ducey’s statewide approval rating this fall was 42 percent, on par with Kelly’s, according to polling conducted by HighGround, Coughlin’s political consulting firm in Phoenix. Roughly 65 percent of Republicans in the state had a favorable view of the governor, the firm found, despite Trump’s criticism.
Chad Campbell, a Democratic political consultant in Arizona and former state House minority leader, was among those who were struck by how Ducey’s speech Monday stood in contrast to his last seven.
“I think a lot of people heard that and said to themselves, ‘He’s looking at jumping in the Senate race still,’” Campbell said. “At the very least, he’s wading into the water and testing the temperature. If he’s going to do it, he will have to do it soon.”
Iowa Supreme Court rules Democratic Senate candidate Abby Finkenauer will remain on primary ballot after GOP challenge .
Finkenauer called the GOP effort "meritless partisan attacks" that were "orchestrated by Washington Republicans and allies of Senator Grassley."The ruling comes as a relief for Finkenauer — an ex-state lawmaker and former congresswoman — as she gears up for a general election race against Republican Sen. Chuck Grassley, who has served in the upper chamber since 1981 and is running for reelection in a state that has trended conservative in recent election cycles.