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Sport: Michigan vs. Michigan State odds, spread: 2021 college football picks, Week 9 predictions from proven model

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The game of the week in the Big Ten arrives on Saturday afternoon in East Lansing. The Michigan State Spartans host the Michigan Wolverines in a midday battle, and both teams are enjoying dominant seasons. Michigan State and Michigan are both 7-0 overall and 4-0 in Big Ten play. Michigan State is coming off a bye, while Michigan defeated Northwestern last week.

Oct 24, 2015; Atlanta, GA, USA; Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets helmet on the field before a game against the Florida State Seminoles at Bobby Dodd Stadium. © Provided by CBS Sports

Oct 24, 2015; Atlanta, GA, USA; Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets helmet on the field before a game against the Florida State Seminoles at Bobby Dodd Stadium.

Caesars Sportsbook lists the Wolverines as four-point road favorites for this noon ET kickoff. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 50.5 in the latest Michigan vs. Michigan State odds. Before making any Michigan State vs. Michigan picks, make sure you check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

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The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,900 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 9 of the 2021 season on a 26-11 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Michigan vs. Michigan State and just locked in its coveted picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see all of the model's CFB picks. Now, here are the college football odds and trends for Michigan State vs. Michigan:

  • Michigan vs. Michigan State spread: Michigan -4
  • Michigan vs. Michigan State over-under: 50.5 points
  • Michigan vs. Michigan State money line: Michigan -190, MSU +160
  • MICH: The Wolverines are 6-1 against the spread this season
  • MSU: The Spartans are 5-1-1 against the spread in 2021
Featured Game| Michigan State Spartans vs. Michigan Wolverines
Moneyline
Spread
Total
MICHST
+170
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+4
-110
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o50.5
-110
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MICH
-200
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-4
-110
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u50.5
-110
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Why Michigan can cover

Michigan is No. 2 in the country in scoring defense, giving up only 14.3 points per game in 2021. The Wolverines are excellent on that side of the ball, but Michigan might be even better when it comes to running the ball. Michigan is No. 1 in the Big Ten in rushing offense, averaging 253.3 yards per game, and the Wolverines rank in the top five nationally in that same metric. Sophomore running back Blake Corum is a budding star, ranking No. 2 in the Big Ten in rushing yards (729) and rushing touchdowns (10), and Corum is averaging 6.3 yards per carry.

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He is flanked by another dynamic back in Hassan Haskins, who has 602 rushing yards and 10 rushing touchdowns. Michigan is also No. 2 in the Big Ten in third-down efficiency, moving the chains on 46 percent of attempts, and the Wolverines lead the conference with 25 rushing touchdowns. The offensive line is tremendous, allowing the fewest sacks (three) in the Big Ten, and Michigan is a top-four team in the league in scoring (37.7 points per game) and total offense (442.9 yards per game).

Why Michigan State can cover

The Spartans have a legitimate Heisman Trophy candidate in junior running back Kenneth Walker III. Walker is currently No. 2 in the country and No. 1 in the Big Ten with 997 rushing yards this season. The talented ball-carrier is averaging a robust 6.6 yards per carry with nine rushing touchdowns, and Walker is the centerpiece of Michigan State's offense. The Spartans are No. 3 in the Big Ten in both total offense (451.7 yards per game) and scoring offense (34.3 points per game).

Eastern Michigan vs. Toledo odds: 2021 college football picks, MACtion predictions from model on 28-15 run

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Michigan State is also fully capable of moving the ball through the air, averaging 9.2 yards per pass attempt with 15 touchdown passes against only four interceptions. The Spartans have two top-10 wide receivers in the Big Ten in Jayden Reed and Jalen Nailor, with Reed leading the conference in yards per reception (20.8) and Nailor ranking No. 2 in receiving touchdowns with six.

How to make Michigan State vs. Michigan picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the point total, projecting 52 total points. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in over 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Michigan vs. Michigan State? And which side of the spread cashes in over 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that finished the past five-plus years up nearly $3,900 on its FBS college football picks, and find out.

Kansas State vs. West Virginia odds, spread: College football picks, Week 11 predictions from proven model .
SportsLine's model just revealed its 2021 CFB picks and best bets for West Virginia vs Kansas State.Oct 13, 2018; Manhattan, KS, USA; Kansas State Wildcats offensive lineman Tyler Mitchell (62) carries the American flag and linebacker Blake Richmeier (35) carries the Kansas flag onto the field before the start of a game against the Oklahoma State Cowboys at Bill Snyder Family Stadium.

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