College football odds, lines, bets, top predictions for Week 10, 2021: Proven model picks Oregon, Clemson
SportsLine's advanced computer model has revealed its top Week 10 college football picks and betsDerek Mason Vanderbilt
I've put a few winning weeks together with my picks, but I thought last week was going to be much better. I was 5-2 entering the night games and then had two ugly losses before getting a miraculous push from Washington State in the nightcap.
I'm having a hard time getting a read on some of Week 12's marquee matchups, so these picks are for games that are a bit more under the radar. I'm 10-7-1 over the past two weeks, so let's see if I can keep winning.
Last week: 5-4-1
(Note: All times ET, odds from BetMGM)
Memphis at No. 24 Houston
Time: 9 p.m. (Friday) | Line: Houston -8.5 | Total: 60.5
Memphis has been wildly inconsistent this season. The Tigers are 5-5 overall and 2-4 in AAC play with losses to Temple, Tulsa and East Carolina. They’ve dealt with a lot of injuries, especially at receiver, and really struggle running the ball.
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The Houston defense ranks in the top 10 nationally and leads the AAC in sacks. UH should be able to get plenty of pressure on Memphis quarterback Seth Henigan. Houston has won nine straight games and should cruise over a Memphis team that is 0-4 against the spread in road games.
Pick: Houston -8.5
Rutgers at Penn State
Time: Noon | Line: PSU -17.5 | Total: 47.5
Penn State’s offense has been struggling all season long. There’s been very little production from the running game, so QB Sean Clifford has been asked to do so much behind a shaky offensive line. Clifford took a bunch of hits last week in the loss to Michigan. He won’t get hit as many times against Rutgers, but you know a good defensive coach like Greg Schiano is going to find ways to give the struggling PSU offensive line different looks.
Week 12 college football picks, odds, 2021 best bets from proven expert: This three-leg parlay returns 6-1
Barrett Sallee has locked in his top three college football picks for Week 12 : He's backing No. 10 Wake Forest (+4.5) at Clemson in a noon ET kickoff in the ACC. The Demon Deacons have a chance to clinch the ACC Atlantic Division title on Saturday afternoon. They have been one of the highest-scoring teams in the country, averaging 44.7 points per game. Quarterback Sam Hartman ranks eighth nationally with 30 touchdown passes.Wake Forest is facing a Clemson offense that has struggled under quarterback DJ Uiagalelei. His 107.
At the same time, Penn State’s defense is very solid and should be able to handle a Rutgers offense that averages just 4.2 yards per play. Five of Rutgers’ last six games have gone under and the under is 8-2 in Penn State’s 10 games.
Pick: Under 47.5 © Provided by Yahoo! Sports Penn State wide receiver Jahan Dotson (5) runs following a catch against Penn State during an NCAA college football game in State College, Pa.on Saturday, Nov. 13, 2021. (AP Photo/Barry Reeger)
South Florida at Tulane
Time: Noon | Line: Tulane -5.5 | Total: 60
This is one of those point spreads where I feel like I’m missing something. Tulane, currently 1-9, is having a brutal season. The Green Wave have played in some closer games lately, losing 14-10 to UCF and 20-13 in overtime to Tulane, but I’m not sure that this team should be favored by 5.5 points over anybody. Don’t get me wrong, South Florida isn’t a good team either. But the Bulls have been able to move the ball quite well against good competition the past few weeks.
Report: Florida, Virginia Tech eyeing same head coach candidate
The Florida Gators and Virginia Tech Hokies may be competing with each other for one head coaching candidate. © SCOTT CLAUSE/USA TODAY Network via Imagn Content Services, LLC Louisiana coach Billy Napier is poised to be a hot candidate for bigger schools as the coaching carousel heats up, and that already appears to be the case. Florida is interested in bringing him in to replace Dan Mullen, and is aware of interest from Virginia Tech as well, according to Bruce Feldman of The Athletic. Have heard Florida has genuine interest in Billy Napier and knows that Va. Tech does too.
USF has been competitive against Houston and Cincinnati, the AAC’s two best teams. I think this is a winnable game for the Bulls, so I’ll take those 5.5 points.
Pick: South Florida +5.5
Illinois at No. 17 Iowa
Time: 2 p.m. | Line: Iowa -12.5 | Total: 38.5
The way these two teams play games, 12.5 feels like a big number to me — especially when the total is just 38.5. Both of these teams play very slowly and are better defensively than offensively.
Illinois isn’t very talented, but it just finds ways to play close games. The Illini have been a double-digit underdog four times in conference play and covered three times with two outright wins. The only time Iowa covered as a double-digit favorite this year was a 30-7 win over Kent State when it was a 22-point favorite.
The Illini can keep this relatively close.
Pick: Illinois +12.5
Washington at Colorado
Time: 3 p.m. | Line: Washington -6.5 | Total: 43.5
Washington is playing its first game since the firing of head coach Jimmy Lake. This was already a team that was mediocre at best, and now it's nearly a touchdown favorite on the road against a conference opponent? That doesn't make much sense to me — even against Colorado and especially after a heartbreaking loss to Arizona State last weekend.
Cincinnati HC Luke Fickell reportedly not interested in USC job
Many have viewed Fickell as a natural candidate for USC. While Cincinnati is having an outstanding season and should receive College Football Playoff consideration, there is also the athletic director connection. USC AD Mike Bohn was the AD at Cincinnati when Fickell was hired as head coach there in 2017. USC boosters might be hoping Bohn can convince Fickell to take the job, but it doesn’t sound likely.Fickell is currently focused on stating the case for Cincinnati to be considered one of the four-best teams in the country.
Colorado has been playing much better lately. The Buffs beat Oregon State 37-34 two weeks ago and jumped out to a 20-7 lead over UCLA last week in an eventual loss. CU's offense has looked much better in recent weeks and the defense is plenty good enough to limit Washington's offense, which ranks No. 115 in the country.
Pick: Colorado +6.5 © Provided by Yahoo! Sports Colorado running back Jarek Broussard (23) in the second half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Nov. 6, 2021, in Boulder, Colo. Colorado won 37-34 in double overtime. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
UCLA at USC
Time: 4 p.m. | Line: UCLA -3 | Total: 65.5
If there’s one thing I trust in this matchup, it’s UCLA’s ability to run the ball with Zach Charbonnet and Brittain Brown. Those two make up one of the best running back duos in the country. And when they’re paired with a healthy dual-threat QB like Dorian Thompson-Robinson, the UCLA offense can be very tough to deal with. Chip Kelly is going to make it difficult for an undisciplined USC team playing under an interim head coach.
On top of that, UCLA lost a heartbreaker to USC last year and that should serve as extra motivation. USC will have freshman QB Jaxson Dart making his first career start, but it’s hard to trust the Trojans as they play out this season amid a high-profile coaching search.
Pick: UCLA -3
Auburn at South Carolina
Time: 7 p.m. | Line: Auburn -7 | Total: 44.5
Auburn lost Bo Nix to an ankle injury last week in the loss to Mississippi State. Nix’s backup is T.J. Finley, an LSU transfer who started multiple games last year. Honestly, I’m not sure he’s much of a step back from Nix. He’s played in SEC road environments before and won’t be intimidated by the crowd at South Carolina. It feels like you’re getting Auburn at a bit of a discount at just -7.
Auburn blew a big lead last week, and I trust Bryan Harsin to get his team to bounce back. Only three teams have turned the ball more than South Carolina this season. South Carolina is playing its third-string quarterback and couldn’t run the ball last week against Missouri, the team with the second-worst run defense in the country.
Pick: Auburn -7
Former Oklahoma players endorse Clemson DC Brent Venables for new HC .
The abrupt departure of Lincoln Riley has left Oklahoma searching for a new head coach. For several Oklahoma alumni, the choice is an obvious one. © Adam Hagy-USA TODAY Sports In the hours after Riley left for USC, there was a groundswell of support from ex-players for the Sooners to make a run at Clemson defensive coordinator Brent Venables. Venables has long been a highly-respected assistant coach, and served as Oklahoma’s defensive coordinator from 1999 to 2011.