Texans Over/Under Wins Total Betting Breakdown
The Texans have a new coach and bolstered the roster with two first-round picks. Their wins total projection at SI Sportsbook is just 4.5 wins. The Texans are a better football team today than they were a year ago.That’s not saying a lot for a franchise that has eight wins to its name over the last two seasons, but it’s something.Houston heads into 2022 with Lovie Smith promoted to head coach, added two players in the first round at high-value positions and moved on from Deshaun Watson after trading him to the Browns in exchange for a massive haul.
We've already taken a look into the betting market for the winner of the 2022 Offensive Rookie of the Year in the NFL, and now it's time to turn our attention to the defensive side of the football. © Kirthmon F. Dozier / USA TODAY NETWORK Lions pass-rusher Aidan Hutchinson is the co-betting favorite to win Defensive Rookie of the Year.
The list of recent winners is quite decorated. Since 2010, Defensive Rookie of the Year honors have gone to the likes of Ndamukong Sug, Von Miller, Luke Kuechly, Aaron Donald, the Bosa brothers, Marshon Lattimore, Darius Leonard and Chase Young, to name a few. Dallas linebacker Micah Parsons brought home the award last season.
Sports Betting Revenue Remains Strong Amid Nationwide Drop in Handles in June
Sports betting revenue remains strong despite handles dipping in June. New York was the the only state with a $1 billion handle. While inflation and gas prices continue to negatively affect the lives of Americans, states around the country continue to report sizable revenue in sports betting. Although handles dipped across the board in June, bettors are still seeking investments on sporting events as an alternative to the declining values of 401K portfolios. June was highlighted by action involving MLB, the NBA Finals, NBA draft betting, the NHL Stanley Cup Final, UFC and the Belmont Stakes.
It's an impressive list, and now we sift through this year's rookie class to find the next impact defender who is slated for a big first season in the league.
Defensive Rookie of the Year betting odds
The top of the NFL Draft was loaded with defenders, making this an intriguing award to find a bet in. Here are the top 15 on the board, odds courtesy of DraftKings.
- Aidan Hutchinson (+550)
- Kayvon Thibodeaux (+550)
- Travon Walker (+750)
- Quay Walker (+800)
- Kyle Hamilton (+800)
- Derek Stingley Jr. (+1000)
- Ahmad Gardner (+1000)
- Jermaine Johnson II (+1000)
- Devin Lloyd (+1000)
- Nakobe Dean (+1200)
- Jordan Davis (+1400)
- Trent McDuffie (+1600)
- George Karlaftis (+1600)
- Kaiir Elam (+2000)
- Andrew Booth Jr. (+2200)
The first five picks in this past NFL Draft were all defensive players, with 16 total selected in the first round. The top three on this board are all edge-rushers. Travon Walker went first to Jacksonville, followed by Hutchinson at No. 2 to Detroit and Thibodeaux at No. 5 to the Giants.
Saints Over/Under Wins Total Betting Breakdown
NFL Network Insider Ian Rapoport details the NFL's penalization of the Miami Dolphins.
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Sack numbers tend to be the easiest way for many to quantify the impact of a defender, which would explain why the betting favorites fall like they do. Four of the past six DROY winners have specialized in rushing the passer.
By no means does that mean that the next winner will be in that mold, but it has grown into a pattern. We're diverting from that trend with our two best bets for this market.
Ahmad Gardner +1000
Gardner was selected fourth by the New York Jets, and the corner from Cincinnati will slot in immediately as a starter on a Jets defense in desperate need of a boost. An elite cornerback cannot go understated for a successful defense. To possess a shutdown ability and take away a team's top option can completely alter the complexion of a game.
Chiefs cut former first-round pick Deandre Baker
The soon-to-be-25-year-old will surely get another opportunity, as teams are always on the lookout for CB depth (especially when that depth comes with a first-round pedigree).A first-round pick of the Giants in 2019, Baker played in all 16 games in his rookie season, including 15 starts. He did not perform particularly well, yielding a 116.2 passer rating and earning a poor 48.4 overall grade from Pro Football Focus, but as a Day 1 selection, Baker was in line to get another extended look in 2020 for a rebuilding New York outfit.
Gardner's reputation grew as the draft neared, with his biggest accolade that he never allowed a touchdown in his entire collegiate career. Gardner had nine interceptions in three seasons with Cincinnati, but a cornerback's statistics don't tell an entire story. Gardner was rarely thrown to thanks to his sticky, physical coverage.
Assuming Gardner brings that to the next level, he figures to remind Jets fans of Darrelle Revis in a hurry. I'm higher on the Jets than some, but if Gardner helps turn this team around in a hurry, he is going to gain attention for this award. I like these odds for what many consider one of the most talented, pro-ready players in this draft.
Jordan Davis +1400
As we tend to do with these futures markets, we often project a future that could be a reality or it could not. In Jordan Davis's case, the reality he would need in order to win Defensive Rookie of the Year would be if one of the Philadelphia Eagles defensive tackles misses time during the season.
Davis joins a loaded group in Philly that includes Fletcher Cox, Javon Hargrave and Milton Williams. Davis will be in a rotation with these DTs, which should keep everyone fresh and help wreak havoc on the interior offensive lines in their path.
Chargers Over/Under Wins Total Betting Breakdown
The Chargers are tied with the Chiefs and Broncos for the highest AFC West over/under wins total at SI Sportsbook with 10.5 wins. The offseason wouldn’t be complete without the annual, unadulterated Chargers hype train.Expectations for Los Angeles in Justin Herbert’s third season under center and Brandon Staley’s second year with the headset are reaching a breaking point. The Chargers are tied for the sixth-best Super Bowl odds at SI Sportsbook and have the second-best odds—behind the Chiefs—to win the cutthroat AFC West.
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Davis put on an absolute show at the combine, registering numbers never before seen for a man his size. The DT from Georgia is a mammoth of a player who will command double-teams whenever he's on the field. Should he see one-on-one matchups, Davis figures to get to the quarterback and stuff the run regularly.
Davis won the Chuck Bednarik award this past season, given to college football's top defensive player in the nation. He's won the hardware before playing limited snaps, and he can do it again in the NFL.
Davis is likely to unlock a new kind of Eagles defense, opening up lanes for the pass-rushers on this team to get to the passer. His impact may lie beyond general stats, but it's going to be noticed by the Eagles, their opponents and the media by season's end. Keep an eye on Davis early on this season, and at +1400, one of the most unique athletes to ever enter the league is deserving of a bet.
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Chiefs Favored to Win AFC West Again Despite Steep Competition
Good morning! Welcome to Week 1 of the preseason. The Ravens extended their NFL-record win streak to 21 games Thursday night with a win against the Titans and the Giants defeated the Patriots on a last-second field goal. There’s five more games on the docket tonight and plenty more all weekend long to satisfy your football fix.But if preseason football isn’t your thing, there’s real news about a highly anticipated regular-season game: The Bills are now road favorites in the season opener against the Rams, the defending Super Bowl champs.Buffalo, the Super Bowl favorite, is now giving 2.
- NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year betting odds and prediction
- Jets making rookie DB Ahmad Gardner earn his famous 'Sauce' nickname
- The 'First defensive player selected in the NFL Draft' quiz
Related slideshow: The best seasons by NFL defensive rookies (Provided by Yardbarker)
The best seasons by NFL defensive rookies
Micah Parsons just completed a historically great rookie season. Here is the company the Cowboys defender is now keeping. From sack records to players that impacted playoff teams' fortunes, here are the NFL's top defensive seasons from first-year performers.
Charles Woodson, 1998
Woodson enjoyed an awards-filled late 1990s, becoming the only full-time defender to win the Heisman Trophy before winning Defensive Rookie of the Year honors a year later. The No. 4 overall pick started all 16 games for the Raiders, intercepting five passes and adding two more turnovers on forced fumbles. The ex-Michigan superstar impressed enough, making four straight Pro Bowls to start his career, QBs largely avoided him by his late 20s, leading to a less eventful end to his first Oakland stint.
Julius Peppers, 2002
The former North Carolina post player justified his home-state NFL team's No. 2 overall investment, winning the Defensive Rookie of the Year prize after an abbreviated season. Missing the Panthers' final four games due to a substance-abuse violation, Peppers still accumulated 12 sacks and forced five fumbles. The ex-Tar Heel hardwood mainstay also batted down six passes. The 6-foot-6 talent would prove quite durable, adding 16 more seasons to a resume that features the fourth-most sacks in NFL history.
Aldon Smith, 2011
Not a Pro Bowler or a starter, Smith still made a clear impact on a 49ers team that earned the NFC's No. 2 seed thanks to a major defensive leap. While off-field troubles later derailed Smith's career, he stayed on the field for a San Francisco defense that ranked second -- a year after a 16th-place ranking -- in a 13-3 season. Smith finished with 14 sacks, 0.5 off the recognized rookie record, and 27 QB hits. The Mizzou-developed outside linebacker added two more in the playoffs, including one in a physical Giants matchup in which the 49ers pushed the eventual Super Bowl champs to the brink.
Dwight Freeney, 2002
Months after Jim Mora was correct in his skepticism of the 2001 Colts' playoff chances, his replacement took the keys and ended up with a Ferrari at defensive end. Tony Dungy's Colts took Freeney 11th overall after his Big East-record 17.5-sack season at Syracuse. The undersized edge rusher started only eight games as a rookie and did not make the Pro Bowl. Here is what did happen: the spin-move master craftsman led the NFL in tackles for loss (20) and forced fumbles (nine), taking off after moving into the lineup in Week 9. No rookie this century matches Freeney's forced-fumble total, and he began a Hall of Fame-caliber career with 13 sacks. Not bad.
Marshon Lattimore, 2017
Although Drew Brees piloted the Saints to four straight playoff brackets to close out his career, it is hard to overstate how bad New Orleans' defense was in the years immediately prior. The 2015 Saints gave up the most TD passes in a season, and their 2016 version ranked 31st to hold Brees back. Lattimore's arrival marked the top variable for the 2017 squad, which rode a stellar draft class back to prominence. The Pro Bowler stepped in as a starter and became the Saints' No. 1 cornerback, intercepting a career-high five passes and becoming a difficult matchup outside. The Saints rocketed up to 10th in defense and won the NFC South.
Marcus Peters, 2015
Even though Peters missed the 2021 season due to injury, he still leads the NFL in interceptions -- by four -- since 2015 with 31. The Chiefs' first-round pick began that run as a rookie, leading the NFL with eight picks and completing the DB sweep by also pacing the league in return yards (280), return TDs (two), and passes defensed (26). QBs targeted Kansas City's gambling cornerback more than any other player that year, but Peters made them pay often. Peters added a ninth pick in the Chiefs' wild-card win in Houston, the franchise's first playoff victory in 22 years. Peters' 280 INT return yards ranks in the top 10 all-time.
Everson Walls, 1981
Some higher-ranked 1981 rookie seasons resulted in zero Defensive Rookie of the Year votes for Walls, but the Cowboys cornerback intercepted an NFL-leading 11 passes. No player has topped that since. An undrafted free agent (after a 12-round draft) out of Grambling, Walls became a starter for a famed Dallas defense and made an impact in the team getting to the Super Bowl XVI doorstep. While he was in coverage on the most famous wide receiver play in NFL history -- "The Catch" -- Walls intercepted Joe Montana twice in that game.
Mel Renfro, 1964
Before making the less common transition from safety to cornerback, Renfro displayed his Hall of Fame talents for a still-building Cowboys team as a rookie. The first-year safety notched seven interceptions on defense and led the NFL in both kick- and punt-return yardage. Although the Cowboys went 5-8-1 in their fifth season, Renfro scored two touchdowns and served notice he would be one of the NFL's top DBs for the next 14 seasons. The college running back proved a natural in Dallas' defensive backfield, and he soon became part of the first incarnation of Dallas' Doomsday defenses.
Brian Urlacher, 2000
After operating as a safety/linebacker hybrid in college, Urlacher moved into the Bears' starting lineup in Week 3 of his rookie season. Over the next five weeks, he unleashed a breakout stretch by collecting six sacks from his middle linebacker position. The New Mexico product finished the year with eight sacks, 124 tackles (16 for loss), and two interceptions. This versatility paved the way for the rangy (even at nearly 260 pounds) linebacker to become the centerpiece of Lovie Smith's Tampa-2 defense -- an Urlacher-geared dominant unit by the mid-2000s -- and a first-ballot Hall of Fame induction.
Mark Carrier, 1990
From a turnover-producing standpoint, Carrier's rookie season stands among one of the best in NFL history -- for a player of any age. Chosen sixth overall by the Bears, Carrier played a big part in the team returning to the playoffs that season. Not only did the rookie safety intercept an NFL-high 10 passes, but he also forced five fumbles for an 11-5 Bears team. One of two NFL Mark Carriers at the time, the Chicago resident added an 11th INT in a wild-card playoff win. Infusing Chicago's aging defense with young talent, Carrier cemented his breakout season with three INTs against Washington -- two coming on deep Mark Rypien passes to Pro Bowler Gary Clark.
Tommy Nobis, 1966
Before injuries intervened, Nobis was a sideline-to-sideline presence in Atlanta. The linebacker dubbed "Mr. Falcon" was the No. 1 overall pick in 1966. Atlanta hit it big on its first-ever draftee, but the team's struggles obscured Nobis' performance. Dıck Butkus, Ray Nitschke, and Willie Lanier overshadowed the Falcons tackler, but as a rookie, Nobis turned heads. While the unofficial-record 294 tackles attributed to Nobis say more about the NFL's suspect tackling stats of that era, Nobis added five sacks and was easily the top Falcon for most of his career. He is one of the best players not in the Hall of Fame.
Darius Leonard, 2018
The main reason Matt Eberflus landed as a head coach, Leonard rewarded the Colts for their second-round gamble on a Division I-FCS player. "The Maniac" led the league in tackles (163) despite missing a game and added seven sacks from his off-ball linebacker spot. The South Carolina State alum began his fumble-forcing rampage as a rookie, producing four of his 17 career strips, and earned first-team All-Pro recognition as a non-Pro Bowler to further expose the latter's flawed voting process. Leonard was the main reason the Colts emerged from nowhere to go 10-6 and advance to the AFC's divisional round.
Aaron Donald, 2014
The only non-All-Pro Donald season still doubles as one of the best by an NFL rookie. The Rams used their first-round pick as a backup in the season's first month, with the all-time great playing fewer than 51% of St. Louis' snaps in each of the team's first four games. Jeff Fisher took the training wheels off henceforth, and the Pitt product began his terrifying ascent. The menacing defensive tackle finished with nine sacks and 18 tackles for loss. These are pedestrian Donald numbers, but he made an impact immediately and became the best player on a D-line housing vets Chris Long, Michael Brockers, and Robert Quinn.
Von Miller, 2011
John Elway's first draft running the Broncos featured an interesting decision. While Patrick Peterson and Marcell Dareus became quality defenders, the ex-Bronco honcho made the right call at No. 2 overall in Miller. The slithery outside linebacker's eye-popping abilities showed immediately, with the Texas A&M product playing a vital role on a defense that enabled a Tim Tebow-quarterbacked team to make the playoffs. Despite playing outside linebacker in a 4-3 defense and battling a torn thumb ligament late in the season, Miller tortured right tackles throughout an 11.5-sack (feat. 29 QB hits) campaign. No one felt the wrath like Jets tackle Wayne Hunter.
Ndamukong Suh, 2010
Suh's college profile (fourth in the 2009 Heisman voting) and draft status (No. 2 overall) gave the elite defensive tackle prospect a profile his Detroit arrival could not diminish. This helped the Nebraska alum shine immediately. Suh finished his debut season with 10 sacks and 17 quarterback hits, bulldozing his way to first-team All-Pro honors despite playing for a 6-10 team. Suh immediately became a grueling blocking assignment for opposing interior O-linemen, and opponents' blocking schemes reflected it henceforth. This season remains Suh's only double-digit sack showing.
Mike Haynes, 1976
During a period that gave cover men more freedom, Haynes was simply an unfair weapon to deploy. The future NFL 100th Anniversary teamer intercepted a career-high eight passes and showcased elite coverage chops, skills that later led to quarterbacks testing other defenders on Haynes' teams. The 6-foot-2 cornerback also returned two punts for TDs, added three fumble recoveries, and helped the Patriots to their first post-merger playoff berth. While the all-timer later flourished with the Raiders, after the NFL cracked down on physical coverage, he was also a marvel on lesser-remembered Patriot teams.
Lem Barney, 1967
Barney displayed his supreme athletic gifts quickly, notching a diving pick-six on Bart Starr -- in the Packer legend's fifth championship season -- on his second NFL play. A second-round pick out of Jackson State, Barney built on that hot start by leading the league with 10 INTs. The lockdown cornerback tallied an NFL-leading 232 return yards and three pick-sixes. The third of those, a 71-yard return against the Vikings, doubles as one of the more effortless cross-field saunters you'll see. Continuing the lineage of dominant Lions corners, Barney exited his fourth season with 32 INTs en route to Hall of Fame enshrinement.
Micah Parsons, 2021
Parsons' rookie year means one of the NFL's top early-2020s subplots will be charting where the Cowboys' front-seven destroyer's career goes. Helping out at defensive end while playing his traditional standup linebacker, Parsons did it all for a Cowboys defense he transformed in 2021. Missing one game, Parsons still dropped a stunning 13-20-30 sacks-TFLs-QB hits line and passed the eye test more emphatically. He and Ja'Marr Chase's success following COVID-19 opt-outs will make college stars even more cautious in the future, and the Penn State product will be a fixture on some intriguing Dallas defenses.
Nick Bosa, 2019
The 49ers ranked 30th in defensive DVOA in 2018, a 4-12 season. Their 2019 unit finished second in this metric and lifted the team to Super Bowl LIV. The top variable: Bosa. While the 49ers employed a defensive line flush with first-round picks, the group did not matter much until Bosa arrived as the No. 2 overall pick. The Ohio State-honed D-end finished with nine sacks, 16 tackles for loss, and 25 QB hits and was a top-10 pressure producer. He added four more sacks in the playoffs, being set to win Super Bowl MVP had Patrick Mahomes not awakened late. Bosa's impact transcended stats; the 49ers are a much different team with their top pass rusher on the field.
Jevon Kearse, 1999
The official rookie sack standard still belongs to Kearse, who registered 14.5 with the Titans to break Reggie White's record. (White's USFL years made him ineligible for this list.) While the pre-sack-charting era includes higher totals, Kearse made a massive impact for a franchise that had never previously qualified for a Super Bowl. "The Freak" forced eight fumbles, including one on MVP Kurt Warner, during the regular season and cemented his place in sack lore with his outing in the "Music City Miracle" game. Kearse dropped Rob Johnson twice, forcing two fumbles, with the second being a safety. The first-round pick also dropped Warner once in Super Bowl XXXIV.
Al Baker, 1978
While the numbers are unofficial, Baker is credited with not just recording the most sacks by a rookie but holding the NFL's single-season sack record. The Lions' second-round pick delivered a stunning breakout, finishing his rookie season with 23 sacks. Few players suffered from the lack of prior eras' defensive statistics like Baker, who was a fearsome pass rusher during his early seasons. Detroit's defensive end talent stood at 56.5 sacks, unofficially, through three seasons and twice led the league. His 1978 total led the NFL by 5.5. Baker earned first-team All-Pro recognition for his rookie-year efforts
Dıck Butkus, 1965
It is unfortunate Butkus both played exclusively on non-playoff teams and played before proper defensive stats were the norm. Butkus lost out to Bears teammate Gale Sayers for Rookie of the Year, back when offensive and defensive players were grouped together, but finished 1965 as a first-team All-Pro. The do-everything linebacker's fearsome hitting style is well known, but Butkus also showed his turnover-producing chops as a rookie. Chicago's middle linebacker intercepted five passes and recovered seven fumbles, likely forcing several of those. The rare player to make two All-Decade teams, Butkus was at his best in the 1960s, before knee trouble slowed him.
Ronnie Lott, 1981
It is difficult to make a greater rookie-year impact than Lott did, and the all-time great did so at his second-best position. The 49ers stationed Lott at cornerback as a rookie, not moving him to safety until 1985. The first-round pick still thrived, intercepting nine total passes (two in a divisional-round win over the Giants) and returning four of those for TDs. The USC standout did the most to change the fortunes of the 49ers defense, which improved from 26th in 1980 to second in '81. San Francisco's secondary featured a host of impact rookies, but Lott's physicality and coverage instincts played an essential role in the 49ers' first Super Bowl season.
Night Train Lane, 1952
The NFL of the 1950s allowed defenders to maul receivers and limited offensive linemen's hand usage, creating a playground for defensive backs. No one put together a season like Lane, who set a still-standing interception record in his debut Rams season. The 6-foot-1 cornerback picked off 14 passes in 12 games, and the intimidating cover man turned those into 298 return yards and two touchdowns for a 9-3 Rams team. The clothesline artist brought a menacing nature to his position, forcing the NFL to change the rules to protect ball carriers, and remains one of the best corners in league history.
Lawrence Taylor, 1981
Lott's brilliance did not earn Defensive Rookie of the Year honors. Because Taylor was the NFL's Defensive Player of the Year, turning enough heads to beat out Joe Klecko's 20.5-sack season. Retroactive sack compiling only gives Taylor 9.5 (plus two in the playoffs), but he was blazing a new positional trail. The Giants' size-speed monster straight out of the 21st century was being credited as changing the NFL during his rookie year. Taylor destroyed running backs and tight ends from his outside linebacker spot, making an impact in the run game as well to lift the Giants defense from 27th to third from 1980-81. LT forced seminal blocking adjustments and powered the Giants to their first playoff berth in 18 years.
ACC College Football Championship Futures Betting Breakdown .
Clemson is favored to win the ACC at SI Sportsbook and Miami is poised to challenge in coach Mario Cristobal’s first season. Despite winning 10 games, 2021 marked a down year for Clemson as the program failed to win the ACC championship for the first time since Florida State completed the three-peat in 2014. Oddsmakers expect Dabo Swinney will enjoy a bounce-back campaign and lead the Tigers to a potential 12th consecutive double-digit win season. SI Sportsbook has installed the Tigers as prohibitive -143 favorites in an ACC conference that is more wide open than the betting odds indicate.