China will learn from Russia's mistakes if it mounts Taiwan attack: CIA chief
China will learn from Russia's mistakes in Ukraine and seek to establish “overwhelming force” before mounting any invasion of Taiwan, the director of the CIA warned Wednesday. “I think the Chinese leadership is trying to study the lessons of Russia's invasion of Ukraine and what it tells them,” William Burns told the Aspen Security Forum. “I think our sense is that it probably affects less the question of whether the Chinese leadership might choose some years down the road to use force to control Taiwan but how and when they would do it.
A looming showdown over House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s potential visit to Taiwan could test the ability of U.S. and Chinese officials to mitigate the risk of war.
“We have many differences when it comes to Taiwan,” Secretary of State Antony Blinken told reporters Friday. "It would be important as part of our shared responsibility to continue to manage this in a wise way that doesn't create the prospect for conflict.”
Chinese officials have issued a series of heated warnings against a visit by Pelosi, adding public pressure on an internal U.S. government debate that has simmered in recent weeks about whether she should make the trip. Pelosi controls her own itinerary, however, so administration officials have signaled their private opposition to a Taiwan visit while trying also to temper Beijing’s possible reactions, including through a conversation between President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping.
Taiwan holds drills amid Pelosi visit concern, China tension
BEIJING (AP) — Taiwan’s capital staged air raid drills Monday and its military mobilized for routine defense exercises, coinciding with concerns over a forceful Chinese response to a possible visit to the island by U.S. Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi. While there was no direct link between China’s renewed threats and Taiwan’s defensive moves, they underscore the possibility of a renewed crisis in the Taiwan Strait, considered a potential hotspot for conflict that could envelop the entire region.
“President Biden underscored that our policy has not changed,” Blinken said after hosting a ministerial with Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo and their Japanese counterparts at the State Department. “The United States strongly opposes any unilateral efforts to change the status quo or to undermine peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait.”
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That conversation followed days of speculation about whether Pelosi would cancel her plans, particularly after Biden revealed that a visit is “not a good idea right now.” Pelosi, when asked about those warnings, suggested last week that “maybe the military was afraid of my plane getting shot down or something like that.” She said Friday that she is “very excited” about traveling to the region but didn’t reveal whether she would stop in Taiwan.
China vows 'consequences' if Pelosi visits Taiwan
The Chinese military says it will not sit idly by if the US Speaker visits the self-governing island democracy.On Monday, China warned of "serious consequences" if Nancy Pelosi were to proceed with a visit to Taiwan in the coming weeks.
"I never talk about my travel,” she said earlier this week. “It's a danger to me."
Other lawmakers have confirmed that she invited them to accompany her on the trip. “Any member that wants to go, should. It shows political deterrence to President Xi," Rep. Michael McCaul (R-TX), the top Republican on the House Foreign Affairs Committee, told NBC. “But she should also pay attention to the military if it’s going to cause a blowback and escalate things.”
Chinese Communist Party officials have claimed sovereignty over Taiwan since coming to power in 1949, but they have never controlled the island, which was the last stronghold of the Chinese government overthrown by the communist revolutionaries. Taiwan has developed a democratic system of governance, with a high strategic value due to its location and its centrality to the production of cutting-edge semiconductor microchips needed for advanced manufacturing.
Why Speaker Pelosi must go to Taiwan
[This piece has been published in Restoring America to highlight why it is important for Speaker Pelosi to follow through on her commitment to visit Taiwan in order to project U.S. strength and resolve.] Beijing is warning of “serious consequences” and “firm and resolute measures” should House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, (D-CA), follow through with her plans to visit Taiwan.The Chinese Communist Party can’t help itself. Like so much of what China has done in the past 10 years or so, these pronouncements only help to bring about the thing that it’s trying to prevent. At this point, Pelosi must visit.
The U.S. has played a key role in Taiwan’s history, despite cutting diplomatic ties with Taipei in favor of diplomatic relations with Beijing, by supplying Taiwan with weapons and sending signals that the American military might or might not intervene if the mainland regime were to launch an invasion.
China’s Foreign Ministry has warned that “the Chinese military will never sit idl[y] by and will certainly take strong and resolute measures” if Pelosi heads to Taiwan. Some U.S. officials reportedly think that Chinese fighter jets might try to impose a no-fly zone over Taiwan or fly over the island, which would be an unprecedented violation of Taiwanese airspace. A prominent member of Beijing’s state media apparatus asserted China’s right “to forcibly dispel Pelosi’s plane and [any] US fighter jets” that might escort her to Taipei.
“We’ve seen no physical tangible indications of anything untoward with respect to Taiwan,” the White House National Security Council’s John Kirby told reporters Friday. “I'm not going to speak to the speaker's travel. That is for her to speak to. As we've said before, nothing's changed about our One China policy ... the increased rhetoric on the Chinese side is simply not necessary.”
A richer, stronger China warns Pelosi not to visit Taiwan
BEIJING (AP) — Beijing grumbled but swallowed its irritation in 1997 when then-Speaker Newt Gingrich of the U.S. House of Representatives visited Taiwan, the island democracy claimed by the mainland’s ruling Communist Party as its own territory. China had other priorities. President Jiang Zemin’s government was preparing to celebrate Hong Kong’s return and wanted to lock in Beijing’s emergence from diplomatic isolation after its 1989 crackdown on pro-democracy demonstrations in Tiananmen Square. Gingrich, a booster of closer U.S.-Chinese ties, had just helped that campaign by meeting Jiang in Beijing. China avoided a disruptive clash with Washington.
A prominent member of Beijing’s state media apparatus asserted China’s right “to forcibly dispel Pelosi’s plane and [any] US fighter jets” that might escort her to Taipei. Blinken suggested that “open lines of communication on this issue, especially” between Biden and Xi, will be key to maintaining peace.
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“We believe direct communication between the leaders is the most essential aspect of meeting our responsibilities to manage issues as fraught as Taiwan in the most responsible way,” he said.
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Tags:Taiwan, News, Foreign Policy, National Security, Antony Blinken
Original Author:Joel Gehrke
Original Location:Blinken acknowledges ‘prospect for conflict’ with China over Taiwan